Ethereum Mvrv Z-score -
| Z-Score Range | Signal | Meaning | |---------------|--------|---------| | < 0 | Extreme undervaluation | MV < RV → market price below average acquisition cost (capitulation zone) | | 0 – 1 | Undervalued / accumulation | Historically good entry zone | | 1 – 3 | Fairly valued | Normal bull/bear transition | | 3 – 5 | Overvalued | High profit potential but increased risk | | > 5 | Extreme overvaluation | Often aligns with cycle tops (e.g., 2017, 2021) |
Since Ethereum transitioned to Proof-of-Stake, the dynamics have shifted. Staked ETH is locked, reducing liquid supply. However, the MVRV Z-Score remains relevant. High Z-Scores now occur against a backdrop of illiquid supply, potentially making corrections even sharper when stakers eventually exit (post-Shanghai upgrade). Conversely, low Z-Scores occur when staking yields provide a “coupon” to holders, potentially making the floor higher than in previous cycles. Ethereum Mvrv Z-score
The MVRV Z-Score for Ethereum is a volatility-adjusted metric that compares Market Value to Realized Value to identify whether ETH is overvalued or undervalued relative to its on-chain fundamental cost basis. | Z-Score Range | Signal | Meaning |
The Z-Score normalizes the deviation, making it comparable across different market cycles. The MVRV Z-Score for Ethereum is a volatility-adjusted
MVRV Z-Score peaked at ~6.5 in Jan 2018, correctly signaling a macro top before a -90% drawdown.
Ethereum today is not Ethereum of 2017.